Netanyahu doesn’t have much time for challenges In order to form the new government, The clock will go out for it at midnight on Wednesday. If the opposition, led by Jair Lapid of the Liberal Yesh Attid party, actually wins, it will be tantamount to a political earthquake. Because it will be the first time since 2009 Benjamin Netanyahu He is no longer the Prime Minister of Israel and his Likud party will no longer participate in government. It is not yet possible to predict how strong this Sisura will be. However, some observers are already talking about the turning point that will create an era in Israeli politics.
What is certain is that Netanyahu has not been able to form a stable alliance since 2019; In fact he thanked his opponents piece by piece. This time too, soon after the fourth consecutive election, the coalition demanded by the opposition did not have the required majority.
Absolutely the Arab Party will make the country governable
There is only one chance for Jair Lapid to win because he can win in a maneuver where Netanyahu fails. It features Naphtali Bennett Go aboard with his right-hand man Zamina – At the same time winning Mansour Abbas’ moderate Islamic United Arab list to support the desired minority government without direct involvement.
The latter approach in particular would be of great importance in Israeli party politics. Because, for the first time, an entirely Arab party – and a religious party – will make the country the first to rule. In the first decades of the establishment of the state, so-called Labor satellite satellite lists of Arab politicians contributed to keeping the Left in power for a long time. But when the independent Arab parties moved on Israel Created, they were not seen as partners by the ruling Jewish politicians. More than 20 percent of Israeli citizens are now Palestinian Arabs.
Traces of this deep hatred are also shown by Lapid’s attempt to close teams with Mansour Abbas. Lobit and his negotiating partners want to comply with his demands – at the cost of the support of a minority government. But frankly Mansour’s demands are not symbolic politics, but economic and social and nature: it is primarily about more money for Arab communities, the expansion of infrastructure and the expansion of the police presence in the Arab sector, and, more effectively, the fight against widespread crimes of violence.
If Lapid manages to overcome the obstacles that Abbas Mansour has caused him, there is an even bigger obstacle: he must weld the various Jewish parties into the government coalition in which he operates. Such an alliance is not only roughly divided into two blocks, but is ideologically more divided than united. The two camps unite very different parties and positions.
Disagreement over peace process with Palestinians
The two include the large Lapid block, not only his Y Attid, but also his former ally Penny Kants (blue and white) and the right-wing Nationalist Party. Avigdor Lieberman (Our home is Israel). Among these three right-wing groups that represent economic liberalization to the new liberal positions, there is a continuing conservatism in security and Palestinian policy: Lapid, Kants and Lieberman want to occupy at least some of the larger Israeli settlement camps West Bank Leave untouchable.
On the other hand, the two left-wing parties, the Meredith and Avoda (Labor Party), which belong to the Lapid Alliance, have completely different positions on economic and foreign policy issues. Both have social democratic positions and both resume peace process with the Palestinians as a priority. Merets calls for complete withdrawal from occupied territories; Labor leader Mervyn Michaeli will drop it as soon as possible.
The positions are completely opposed by the right-wing coalition of the desired alliance formed by Bennetts Zamina and Likud separatist Gideon Sarin’s New Hope Party. Sir is secular, Bennett is the national religion, but the two will connect the entire “C-zone”, i.e. 60 percent of the West Bank, if possible. However, Lapid and his party camp refuse to do so. Not only because of this, but according to Israeli media reports, the issue was left out of the negotiations as well as other controversial issues.
Bennett will be the real winner
The struggle for leading positions in cabinets and important parliamentary committees has intensified in recent days. Bennett, who finally fell into the role of Kingmaker, will be the real winner if the alliance is to come. Because he has only seven seats in parliament, he will rotate the offices of prime minister and foreign minister with Lapid. In the March election, his Yesh Adidas was the second largest force in the 17-seat Nazareth. In the negotiations so far, Bennett has been able to defend his party’s preferred interior ministry and other areas in Israel that are considered “ideological”, such as education and religion.
The two left-wing parties that were part of the Lapid-Bennett coalition could slow down the right-wing turn in Israeli policy. The minimum consensus in such a broad coalition may be to ensure the country’s economic recovery after the corona epidemic. Until this succeeds, the growing government of unequal partners will probably be tolerated – unless it breaks down after a short time due to its internal contradictions.