Chinese electric vehicle makers
Reported April delivery on Sunday morning. The numbers are not very good. that gives
Investors another thing to worry about.
Looking ahead, Wall Street expects NIO to deliver about 31,000 vehicles in the second quarter, up from about 26,000 vehicles delivered in the first quarter of 2022. That’s not a good start.
Covid seems to be the cause. “In late March and April 2022, the company’s vehicle production and delivery was affected by supply chain volatility and other restrictions caused by a new wave of COVID-19 outbreaks in certain regions of China,” the NIO news release said.
This is no surprise. Investors have known of production problems related to Covid in China for weeks. covid closures in ShanghaiFor example, a Tesla plant in the region shut down for weeks, costing Tesla (TSLA) perhaps 15,000 vehicle deliveries in the first quarter of 2022. Tesla ended up delivering about 310,000 vehicles, up from the 309,000 delivered in the fourth quarter of 2021.
Li Auto (LI) delivery 4167 vehicles In April, down from about 11,000 delivered in March and down from about 5,500 delivered in April 2021.
Looking ahead, Wall Street expects Li’s sales to grow to about $1.9 billion in the second quarter, up from about $1.5 billion forecast in the first quarter. Lee delivered nearly 32,000 vehicles in the first quarter of 2022.
Lee spoke about Covid in his news release as well: “The emergence of COVID-19 in the Yangtze Delta region continues to cause severe industry-wide disruptions to supply chain, logistics and production since late March.” Li manufactures cars in Changzhou, the center of the region, and obtains most of its auto parts locally.
The XPeng (XPEV) results look a little better than the Li or NIO numbers. XPeng تسليم Delivery 9002 vehicles In April, down from about 15,000 vehicles delivered in March, but up from about 5,000 vehicles delivered in April 2021.
Looking ahead, Wall Street expects XPeng sales to grow to about $1.3 billion in the second quarter, up from about $1.1 billion projected for the first quarter of 2022. XPeng delivered nearly 35,000 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021.
XPeng referred to Covid in its press release as well.
Combined, the three delivered about 18,000 cars in April. That’s the worst monthly result since May 2021 and just under 21,000 vehicles delivered in February 2022 – when the Chinese Lunar New Year holiday affected the results. But the silver lining is year-to-date, deliveries are up 73% year over year, driven by gains from Li and XPeng.
Li Auto was down 0.6% in premarket trading on Monday, while XPeng was up 1.1%, and Nio was down 0.4%.
The shares of the three companies have already been hit hard. Heading into Monday’s trading, shares of NIO, XPeng and Li are down more than 40% year-to-date on average, much worse than similar declines of 13% and 21%.
Delivery results could also extend to Tesla’s trading. Tesla’s Shanghai factory is the most productive. However, Wall Street’s second-quarter delivery forecast for Tesla doesn’t look as strong as those of the other three. Analysts expect Tesla to deliver about 305,000 vehicles in the second quarter, down from the 310,000 figure from the first quarter.
Tesla stock has taken a hit, too, down 19% in April, partly due to the market — the Nasdaq is down 13% — and partly because investors weighed the impact of CEO Elon Musk’s surprise plan to buy.
(TWTR) on his auto company. This may explain why Tesla stock advanced 0.4% Monday morning.
There is a lot of bad news already in stock.
Write to Al Root at [email protected]
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